The National Hurricane Center has posted the latest advisory for tropical storm Ernesto. The storm is forecasting landfall in North Carolina this evening, then moving north through Virginia and Maryland. We in Talbot County may see some minor flooding.
A site by Mark Sudduth that monitors and tracks Hurricanes, often updated.
The National Weather Service is still forecasting as much as 5 to 10 inches of rain for the Sterling forecast area, which includes all of Maryland west of the bay, except for Garrett County, the District, and most of northern and central Virginia. AccuWeather’s new map shifts the worst of the rain to our south, leaving us with just 4 to 6 inches.
It could start falling late today, but most will arrive tomorrow morning. The worst of the accumulations will likely be on the east-facing slopes of the mountains, where rising terrain will lift and cool the air more and squeeze out more moisture.
The east winds that began blowing yesterday will persist until the storm passes by. And that will push plenty of water up into the rivers and creeks from Cecil to St. Mary’s County. But this does not mean we’re looking at an Isabel-scale storm surge. They’re talking more like 1.5 to 2.5 feet above predicted tides. Isabel’s tide was 8 feet above predictions, with wind and waves on top of that. Unless your property is very close to sea level, for the forecast is way off base, Ernesto should not cause a major worry.
Sources:http://blogs.marylandweather.com
Posted on September 1st, 2006 by Tilghman Guy
Filed under: General
Easton / Newman Field, MD